Olympic qualification, waiting Mexico City World Cup

After the first World cup event of the 2008 we can show you the following situations:
Men’s qualification
There are still 2 wild cards and we can suppose 14 cards in the olympic ranking.
According to our study we are sure the necessary ranking points for taking olympic pass will be not more of 127.
It will probably be 123 or less.
So it’s difficult that less than 30 points in one competition or less than 70 in two competitions could be useful.
Looking at the actual olympic ranking  with more than 30 points (one comp.) or 70 (for two comp.) we can find the following situation:

6 cards of 14 are already sure:
-Walther 175 points and Gebhard 153pt for Germany, Capalini (Cze)147pt, Benedetti (Ita)136pt, Meliakh (Blr)125pt and Majewski (Pol) 124pt.

Other 6 are almost sure with athletes who have more than 75 points with two competitions:
-Berrou (Fra)100pt, Lapo 82pt or Prokopenko 81pt (Blr), Cherkovskis (Lat) 79pt, Garcia 79pt and Soto 75pt for Mexico and Bowsher (Usa) with 76pt.

For the remaining 2 cards the following athletes are fighting:
-one of these Italian: Simonetti 73pt (two comp), Valentini 38pt, Pecci 34pt and Giancamilli 31pt.;
-Santos (Bra), Hantov (Bul) and Lopez (Esp) with 40pt;
-Papadopolo (Gua) 39pt;
-Sika (Lat) and Romao (Bra) with 38pt;
-Guitian (Pan) 37pt and Weale (Gbr) 37pt (or Woodbridge 31pt)
-Brandt (Swe) and Tisi (Chi) with 36pt.;
-one of these Ukrainian: Tymoshenko 35pt, Borkin 33pt and Kukshin 30pt.
-Maynard (Can) 35pt;
-Abreu (Dom) 34pt;
-Daniel (Aut) and Tebenkov (Kaz) with 32pt
-Floros (Gre) and Johansson (Swe) with 31pt.
-El Geziry (Egy) with 31pt or one other Egyptian athlete between Tadros and Hefny, without useful points.
-Astier (Fra) with 30pt
-maybe also somebody else, without useful points.

Women’s qualification
In the olympic ranking we can suppose 13 cards.
We think that in the women qualification 110 points will be enough for taking the pass for Bejing.
Let's see the 13 hypothetical cards:
-10 are already sure:
Samusevich 152pt and Arkhipenka 154pt for Belarus, Rublevska (Lat) with 149,  Mouratova (Rus) 131pt, Taormina (Usa) 131pt, Boenisz (Pol) 128pt or Maloszyc (Pol), 126pt, Mathe (Hun) 122pt and Tereshuk (Ukr) 120pt.
With only two good results: Grolichova (Cze) 90pt and Grant (Can) with 78pt.
-For the last 3 cards are now in pole position the following athletes:
Trautmann (Ger) 67pt with two results.
Sanchez (Mex) 44pt, Rodriguez (Cub) 42pt, Lellys (Bra) 40pt, Rimsaite (Ltu) 34pt, Fakhry (Egy) 30pt.

You can read the olympic ranking, olympic qualificated list and olimpic criteria, in the website area “Bejing  2008”.

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